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US consumer confidence stabilizes in May

According to a recent Bloomsberg survey, the US consumer confidence stabilised in May, indicating Americans are optimistic that the economic drubbing from the coronavirus pandemic will be short-lived.

The Conference Board’s index rose by 0.9 point to 86.6. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists had called for a reading of 87. The group’s subindex of expectations, based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business and labor market conditions, rose for a second month to 96.9. Attitudes about the present situation dropped by 1.9 points to 71.1, the lowest since 2013, as the proportion rating business conditions as bad rose to the highest since 1983.

The data add to signs that the worst of the fallout from the coronavirus is over, though there is still some way to go until the economy is back on track. While states are letting businesses reopen, confidence will be highly dependent on how well the coronavirus is contained and whether there’s a second wave of infections. Economists expect a significant pick-up in activity in the third quarter, but a return to normal is still nowhere in sight as tens of millions of Americans are out of work, schools remain closed and with no vaccine or significant treatment yet available for Covid-19.

The consumer confidence survey is one of the latest signs that while the US may be recovering from the initial shock of the pandemic, the pain is far from over. Americans are still losing jobs by the millions and reopenings have gone more slowly in some areas of the country.

 
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