At the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 21, 2026, environmental non-profit Canopy introduced a landmark $2 billion blended finance platform designed to transform India into a global hub for ‘Next Gen’ low-carbon materials. This strategic investment marks the first phase of a massive $78 billion global infrastructure transition aimed at eliminating forest-derived fibers from fashion supply chains by 2033. By leveraging India’s vast agricultural residues and textile waste, the initiative seeks to replace high-carbon wood pulp with circular alternatives, a move critical for brands navigating increasingly stringent global deforestation regulations.
The blueprint targets the production of 1.5 million tons of next-generation paper, packaging, and man-made cellulosic fibers (MMCF) like viscose and rayon. This shift is no longer merely elective; with the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and similar norms in the US and UK tightening, Indian exporters face significant market-access risks if they remain tethered to traditional wood-pulp sources. Companies staying locked into business-as-usual wood sourcing are signing up for higher costs and supply vulnerability, states Nicole Rycroft, Executive Director, Canopy. The platform utilizes a blended finance model to de-risk early-stage facilities, pooling capital from philanthropies and private investors to catalyze commercial-scale production.
Beyond decarbonization, the investment addresses critical localized challenges, such as the seasonal air pollution in Delhi caused by crop stubble burning. By diverting 100 million tons of agricultural waste into industrial feedstocks, the project aims to improve air quality while creating new income streams for rural communities. Currently, India produces roughly 8 million tons of textile waste annually, most of which remains underutilized. Zoe Caron, Strategic Lead-Global Investments, Canopy, noted, these targeted financial structures turn waste into high-value commodities, effectively future-proofing India’s $165 billion textile sector against the volatility of the global timber market.
Canopy is a global environmental non-profit dedicated to protecting the world’s forests by shifting supply chains toward sustainable alternatives. Working with over 950 global brands representing $2.1 trillion in revenue, the organization focuses on scaling ‘Next Gen’ solutions made from waste. Their current strategy involves mobilizing $78 billion by 2033 to modernize global textile and packaging infrastructure, with a primary growth focus on India’s circular economy.
The Indian textile and apparel sector entered a high-stakes transition on January 1, 2026, as the European Union (EU) formally suspended Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP) benefits for 87 per cent of Indian exports. This graduation triggers a shift to full Most Favored Nation (MFN) tariffs, effectively raising duties on apparel from a preferential 9.6 per cent to a standard 12 per cent. Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) data suggests, this 2.4 per cent margin hit is critical in a sector where net profits often hover between 3-5 per cent. Unlike competitors such as Bangladesh and Vietnam - which retain duty-free access via ‘Everything But Arms’ status or specialized FTAs - Indian manufacturers must now navigate a widening price gap of approximately 10-12 per cent in the European market.
The timing of the GSP withdrawal creates a ‘double-jeopardy’ scenario for the industry. It coincides with the definitive tax phase of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), introducing new compliance costs even as direct tariffs rise. While high-level negotiations for an India-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) are slated for a decisive breakthrough at the January 27 Summit in New Delhi, the legal ratification process implies a minimum 12-to-18-month lag before relief is realized. Exporters are currently caught in a transition valley, notes Ajay Srivastava, Trade Analyst. Until the FTA is operational, Indian garment houses face immediate pressure to either absorb these costs or risk losing shelf space to regionally more competitive suppliers.
India’s textile industry is the nation’s second-largest employer, contributing 2.3 per cent to GDP with an annual export value exceeding $34 billion. The EU remains its largest destination, accounting for nearly 17 per cent of total shipments. Current growth targets aim for $100 billion in exports by 2030, supported by the PLI 2.0 scheme.
The ASEAN+3 region - comprising the ten Southeast Asian nations plus China, Japan, and South Korea - is projected to maintain a steady growth trajectory of 4.0 per cent in 2026, according to the latest AMRO Regional Economic Outlook released on January 21, 2026. While this marks a slight moderation from the 4.3 per cent growth estimated for 2025, the region’s retail and apparel sectors are emerging as primary beneficiaries of ‘friend-shoring’ and robust domestic demand. With regional inflation contained at a projected 1.2 per cent, consumer purchasing power remains resilient, providing a stable foundation for the fashion industry’s ongoing premiumization.
The ‘China Plus One’ strategy continues to redirect massive Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into Southeast Asia’s manufacturing hubs. Vietnam is forecasted to lead the region with a staggering 7.6 per cent GDP growth in 2026, solidifying its role as a premier destination for high-value garment and textile production. This industrial shift is mirrored in the retail landscape, where major players are capitalizing on a burgeoning middle class. Data indicates,by 2026-end, ASEAN will account for one in six households entering the global ‘consuming class,’ a demographic shift that is driving international fashion labels to expand their physical footprints in Tier I cities across Indonesia, Thailand, and Malaysia.
Despite the positive outlook, the sector faces headwinds from unpredictable global trade policies and the potential broadening of protectionist measures. To mitigate these risks, Dong He, Chief Economist, AMRO emphasizes the urgency of deepening regional economic integration. By leveraging the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), apparel manufacturers are reducing their dependence on high-tariff Western markets and pivoting toward intra-regional trade. This ‘regionalization’ of the supply chain not only cushions against external shocks but also aligns with the growing consumer demand for localized, sustainable fashion that minimizes long-haul logistics emissions.
The ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) is an international organization tasked with ensuring the macroeconomic and financial stability of the ASEAN+3 region. Based in Singapore, AMRO provides critical surveillance and technical assistance to its member states. Historically established after the Asian Financial Crisis, the office now serves as the primary data hub for regional growth plans, monitoring a $30 trillion collective economy and its high-growth sectors like digital retail and advanced manufacturing.

In a high-stakes appeal for the survival of India’s garment sector, the Apparel Export Promotion Council (AEPC) has formally approached the Vice President of India, C.P. Radhakrishnan. The industry body is seeking an immediate resolution to an escalating India-U.S. tariff dispute that threatens to dismantle the nation’s textile export framework.
The Council’s plea highlights a critical situation triggered by recent U.S. trade actions, specifically the imposition of a 25% tariff alongside an additional 25% oil-related penalty. These measures have caused severe disruption to India’s textile exports, particularly because the U.S. serves as the largest single market for Indian apparel. For many major exporters, the American market accounts for approximately 70% of their total business, making the impact of these tariffs catastrophic.
The industry is currently struggling with structural constraints that make it impossible to absorb these costs. AEPC Chairman Dr. A. Sakthivel noted that the sector operates on incredibly thin margins and faces a long-term production cycle consisting of a six-month development period and four months of work-in-progress inventory. Furthermore, with wage costs making up 30% of the industry’s expenses, the majority of which are fixed, exporters lack the financial flexibility to withstand prolonged tariff shocks.
In an effort to protect exports and maintain production continuity, Indian exporters have already taken the drastic step of absorbing a 25% price reduction equivalent to the U.S. oil penalty. While this was done in anticipation of a swift treaty resolution, it has effectively wiped out profits and depleted the industry's financial reserves. The Council warned that while this strategy was intended as a short-term bridge to retain U.S. customers, it is no longer sustainable.
The risk is now escalating as U.S. buyers begin to withhold or cancel new orders, unwilling to risk mid-cycle tariff increases. The AEPC emphasized that further tariff absorption is commercially impossible and passing these costs on to buyers is not a viable option. Diversifying into alternate markets is also ruled out as a short-term solution because textile sourcing is deeply embedded in long-term supply chains, requiring two to three years for new buyer onboarding and compliance audits.
The consequences of continued inaction are described as dire, ranging from immediate factory shutdowns and large-scale job losses to the irreversible loss of U.S. market share to competitor nations. The AEPC argues that competitor nations with preferential trade access are already positioned to replace India if this crisis persists.
Consequently, the Council has requested that the Vice President refer the matter to the Government of India for the fast-tracking of India-U.S. tariff negotiations. Specifically, the industry is seeking the immediate conclusion of a tariff treaty or, at the very least, an interim relief mechanism to restore buyer confidence and protect ongoing commitments. The AEPC concluded its appeal by stating that there is no further shock-absorption capacity left in the sector, and a delay of even three to six months could cause permanent damage to this strategic industry.

As Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman prepares to table the Union Budget 2026 on February 1, few sectors are watching the clock as closely as textiles and apparel. Employing more than 45 million people directly and supporting millions more indirectly, the industry stands at a moment of deep uncertainty and latent opportunity. A fragile global recovery, the shock of a steep 50 per cent tariff on Indian exports to the US effective August 2025, and the steady advance of duty-free competitors have exposed structural vulnerabilities that incremental policy tweaks can no longer mask. What the sector is seeking from Budget 2026 is not relief alone, but a fundamental re-weaving of India’s competitiveness in global and domestic markets alike.
The external environment confronting Indian exporters in 2026 resembles a high-stakes chessboard. Since August 27, 2025, shipments to the US, India’s single largest apparel export destination have been hit by a 50 per cent reciprocal tariff. The impact has been immediate and visceral. In Ludhiana’s winterwear units and Tiruppur’s knitwear factories, orders have slowed, buyer negotiations have grown brittle, and margins that were already thin have been pushed to the edge. For many MSMEs, the tariff shock has not merely reduced profitability; it has raised existential questions about survival.
Yet even as one door narrows, another appears to be opening. Negotiations for the India-EU Free Trade Agreement are expected to conclude by January 27, 2026, and for the textile sector, the timing could not be more critical. Mukesh Kansal, Chairman, CTA Apparels, sees it as far more than a tariff adjustment. In his view, duty-free or reduced-duty access to the EU would recalibrate India’s cost structure vis-à-vis countries that currently enjoy preferential access, while also reinforcing India’s credibility as a compliant and responsible sourcing hub. This matters profoundly in a European market increasingly shaped by sustainability mandates, traceability requirements, and ethical sourcing norms. In effect, the FTA offers India a chance to pivot from being merely competitive on price to being indispensable on trust.
Large exporters echo this emphasis on continuity and predictability. Pearl Global Industries, which reported a 12.7 per cent year-on-year revenue growth to Rs 2,541 crore in the first half of FY26 despite global headwinds, illustrates what scale and diversification can still achieve. Group CFO Sanjay Gandhi argues that progress on FTAs with the EU and the UK could act as a powerful catalyst just as global demand begins to normalize. However, he is equally clear that trade agreements alone are insufficient. Without stable policies, efficient logistics, and sustained investment in skilling, India risks squandering the very opportunities that geopolitical realignments are creating.
While exports dominate headlines, domestic consumption remains the industry’s most reliable anchor. India’s aspiration of becoming a Viksit Bharat rests heavily on sustaining a virtuous consumption cycle, and textiles sit at the heart of that equation. Gautam Singhania, Chairman and Managing Director of Raymond Group, has repeatedly underscored that policies supporting consumer sentiment and disposable incomes can generate a meaningful multiplier effect across retail, manufacturing, and employment.
This dual dependence on domestic demand and export competitiveness is captured in the industry’s medium-term projections.
|
Segment |
Market size (2024-25) |
Projected size (2029-30) |
Growth drivers |
|
Total Market |
$178 bn |
$350 bn |
Domestic Consumption & MMF |
|
Exports |
$38 bn |
$100 bn |
FTAs (EU, UK) & PLI 2.0 |
|
Employment |
45 mn (firect) |
60 mn+ |
PM MITRA Parks & MSME scaling |
Source: Invest India & CITI, January 2026
The numbers tell a story of ambition tempered by conditions. Doubling the total market to $350 billion within five years assumes not just rising incomes but a decisive shift toward man-made fibres, where India has historically lagged despite global demand skewing strongly in their favor. Similarly, the leap from $38 billion to $100 billion in exports hinges on the successful conclusion and implementation of FTAs, alongside the effectiveness of schemes such as PLI 2.0. Employment growth to over 60 million, meanwhile, rests on whether mega infrastructure initiatives like PM MITRA Parks can genuinely integrate MSMEs into globally competitive value chains rather than remaining islands of large-scale manufacturing.
It is against this backdrop that the Confederation of Indian Textile Industry (CITI) has framed its pre-Budget memorandum. Rather than a laundry list of incentives, CITI’s submission reads as a blueprint for futureproofing a sector that must adapt to volatile commodity cycles, tightening sustainability norms, and shifting trade regimes. Chairman Ashwin Chandran situates textiles as central to the Viksit Bharat goal, arguing that its labour intensity and export potential make it uniquely suited to inclusive growth.
At the core of CITI’s argument lies raw material volatility. Cotton prices, buffeted by global supply shocks and domestic policy distortions, have eroded predictability for spinners and garmenters alike. The proposal to remove the 11 per cent import duty on cotton and to establish a Cotton Price Stabilisation Fund is less about cheap imports than about aligning domestic prices with international realities. Without such alignment India risks undermining its own competitiveness at the very first stage of the value chain.
Sustainability forms the second pillar of the industry’s expectations. As global buyers tighten carbon and compliance benchmarks, especially in Europe, MSMEs face the paradox of needing to invest in green technologies without access to affordable capital. A dedicated Green Technology Scheme, as proposed by CITI, could bridge this gap, enabling smaller units to transition to clean energy and resource-efficient processes without being priced out of global markets.
The third pillar is infrastructure and technology. With the Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (TUFS) effectively exhausted, the call for a National Textile Fund reflects the industry’s recognition that modernization cannot be episodic. Continuous upgrading of machinery, logistics, and digital capabilities is now a baseline requirement rather than a competitive edge.
Few places illustrate the stakes of Budget 2026 as vividly as Tiruppur. Producing nearly 70 per cent of India’s knitwear exports, the cluster has been described by many exporters as ground zero of the US tariff shock. For MSMEs operating on wafer-thin margins, the sudden loss of price competitiveness has felt like a death knell. Orders have shifted to countries with preferential access, and cash flows have tightened to the point where even compliance investments feel out of reach.
Yet Tiruppur also reflects the sector’s resilience and capacity for reinvention. Entrepreneurs like Tejasvi Madan, Founder direct-to-consumer label Beyond Bound, views the Budget not merely as a relief package but as an inflection point for India’s fast-moving apparel ecosystem. Her call for a uniform GST structure speaks to the daily frictions that startups face, where inverted duty structures distort pricing and working capital. Equally significant is her emphasis on focused incentives for women-led enterprises, aligning India’s policy framework with the ethical and diversity benchmarks increasingly demanded by global buyers.
As India sets its sights on a $350 billion textile and apparel industry by 2030, the Union Budget 2026 will play a defining role in shaping the path ahead. Decisions on raw material duties, trade support mechanisms, infrastructure funding, and tax rationalization will collectively determine whether India remains trapped in a low-cost manufacturing paradigm or evolves into the world’s preferred hub for high-value, sustainable apparel.
The stakes extend beyond balance sheets and export targets. For millions of workers, clusters, and entrepreneurs, the Budget will signal whether policy is prepared to match rhetoric with structural reform. In that sense, February 1 is not merely a fiscal milestone. It is a moment when India must decide how it intends to weave its textile future into the fabric of a changing global economy.
The global textile sector is entering a new era of accountability as the ‘green-washing’ era ends and the age of digital verification begins. With the global organic cotton fabric market projected to grow from $454 million in 2025 to $647 million by 2032, the pressure to eliminate fraud is at an all-time high. Leading this charge, Oeko Tex has partnered with TextileGenesis, a Lectra company, to replace vulnerable paper-based records with a secure, digital chain of custody.
Central to this alliance is the implementation of Fibercoin technology. This system assigns a unique digital token to every physical kilogram of certified organic material. As the cotton moves from Indian ginning mills to Bangladeshi garment factories, these tokens mirror the physical flow, preventing the ‘double-counting’ often found in manual systems. Amit Gautam, CEO, TextileGenesis, notes, this digital twin approach effectively ‘eliminates the reliance on PDF transaction certificates,’ which have historically been susceptible to manipulation.
This digitization is a strategic response to the EU’s Green Claims Directive and Digital Product Passport (DPP) requirements coming into effect throughout 2026. For manufacturers, the stakes are high: the organic textile industry is forecast to reach a staggering $305.73 billion by 2035, growing at an 18 per cent CAGR. By integrating Oeko-Tex’s rigorous GMO testing with real-time digital tracking, brands can now substantiate sustainability claims with auditable data, securing their position in a high-premium, eco-conscious market.
Oeko Tex is a premier international association of 17 independent research and testing institutes. Specializing in chemical safety and ecological textile certifications, the organization issued over 57,000 certificates in the last fiscal year. Its growth strategy focuses on digitizing the Oeko Tex Organic Cotton standard to meet 2026 Global Transparency Mandates.
A recent recommendation by the Ministry of Commerce to withdraw bonded warehouse facilities for 10–30 count cotton yarn has triggered significant instability across Bangladesh’s textile and apparel sectors. This move, which effectively imposes an estimated 40 per cent cumulative duty on imports, has been met with sharp resistance from the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA) and the BKMEA. Industry leaders describe the policy as a ‘unilateral decision’ that prioritizes upstream spinning mill interests over the downstream garment sector, which accounts for over 80 per cent of national export earnings. The dispute comes as apparel exports already contracted by 2.63 per cent during the July–December 2025 period, with a staggering 14.23 per cent plunge recorded in December alone.
The fiscal impact of this policy shift is substantial. Currently, Bangladeshi spinning mills sell 30-card yarn at approximately $3.00 per kg, while Indian manufacturers supply equivalent quality for $2.60 - a 40-cent differential that exporters claim is critical for global price parity. The withdrawal of bonded facilities at this juncture could be a death warrant for the knitwear sector, states Mohammad Hatem, President, BKMEA. Conversely, the Bangladesh Textile Mills Association (BTMA) has threatened an indefinite shutdown of all textile mills starting February 1, 2026, if the protections are not enforced, citing unsold inventory worth Tk 120 billion and the ‘dumping’ of cheap foreign yarn.
Beyond immediate production costs, economists at the CPD warn of broader geopolitical repercussions. Restrictions on land-port imports from India have already contributed to a 6.5 per cent decline in Bangladesh’s regional exports. As Vietnam secures zero-duty access to key markets via new Free Trade Agreements, the additional 33 per cent to 40 per cent tax burden on raw materials could drive international buyers toward more stable competitors. The government now faces the challenge of balancing long-term industrial security for domestic spinners with the immediate survival of the nation’s premier export engine.
The RMG sector is Bangladesh’s economic backbone, employing 4 million workers and targeting $44.49 billion in exports for FY26. While domestic spinning meets 90 per cent of knitwear yarn demand, the industry relies on imports for high-count woven fabrics. Current growth is challenged by 14 per cent export dips and rising energy costs, necessitating a shift toward high-value technical textiles.
New York-based Centric Brands LLC has entered a JV with the lifestyle collective founded by DJ Kygo and Myles Shear, Palm Tree Crew to transform the brand into a comprehensive global apparel and accessories powerhouse. The move leverages Centric’s $3 billion operational platform to scale Palm Tree Crew’s cultural influence across diverse consumer categories.
As the global fashion industry faces a projected low single-digit growth period in 2026, market leaders are shifting focus toward ‘experience-driven’ sectors that command higher consumer loyalty. This venture focuses on high-margin Men’s and Women’s apparel, utilizing Centric’s sophisticated design and sourcing infrastructure. By integrating Palm Tree Crew’s ‘tropical luxury’ aesthetic with Centric’s distribution network - which spans major department stores and digital platforms - the partnership seeks to capture the rising demand for lifestyle-centric self-expression.
The collaboration follows Centric’s recent aggressive expansion, including the acquisition of Fownes Brothers and the Vingino Group to expand its international kids and accessories divisions. Culturally relevant brands are central to our growth strategy, states Jason Rabin, CEO, Centric Brands. While macroeconomic headwinds and shifting tariffs challenge undifferentiated retailers, Centric is mitigating risk by investing in brands with built-in communities. Palm Tree Crew’s existing ecosystem of festivals and hospitality provides a unique, low-cost marketing funnel, positioning the new apparel lines for sustained, profitable global growth.
Centric Brands is a leading lifestyle collective managing a portfolio of over 100 iconic licenses, including Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger. With an estimated annual revenue exceeding $3.1 billion, the company is currently expanding its physical and digital footprint globally, targeting high-growth lifestyle and ‘experience-first’ apparel categories through 2028.
As the National Institute of Fashion Technology (NIFT) celebrates its 40th anniversary this week in Mumbai, the institution is shifting its focus from traditional design education to high-tech industrial stewardship. With India’s domestic apparel market projected to reach $350 billion by 2030, the NIFT International Conference 2026 serves as a strategic launchpad for VisionNxt, the nation’s first AI-enabled fashion forecasting lab. This indigenous tool aims to reduce the industry's $50 million annual dependency on western trend agencies by providing geo-specific data tailored to Indian demographics.
The conference highlights a critical commercial transition: the integration of Emotional Intelligence (EI) and Big Data into the textile value chain. VisionNxt utilizes a proprietary taxonomy of over 100 Indian and Western product categories to predict consumption patterns with 86 per cent accuracy. By digitizing the ‘Indian look,’ NIFT is enabling manufacturers to optimize production cycles and reduce inventory waste - a move essential for the 10.5 per cent revenue growth expected in the apparel sector this fiscal year.
Union Minister of Textiles, Giriraj Singh, emphasizes, the 2026 roadmap prioritizes ‘Vikas aur Virasat’ (Development and Heritage). This involves leveraging NIFT’s 41,000-strong alumni network to scale technical textiles, a segment forecast to hit $45 billion by late 2026. Through collaborations with the British Council and University of the Arts London, NIFT is positioning Indian handlooms within a ‘zero-waste’ circular economy, ensuring that the country’s 11 per cent CAGR in textile exports remains sustainable amidst tightening global environmental regulations.
NIFT is India’s premier statutory body for fashion education, operating 20 campuses with 15,000 students. It provides professional leadership to the textile and apparel sectors through research-led initiatives like VisionNxt. Under the Ministry of Textiles, NIFT aims to drive India toward a $100 billion export target by 2030 through digital innovation and craft-cluster development.
In a definitive move to recapture market share and navigate a volatile retail landscape, Guess, Inc has announced a strategic ‘reset’for its Spring/Summer 2026 season. Central to this transformation is the appointment of global entrepreneur Chiara Ferragni as the new face of the brand - marking her return to Guess after 13 years. This high-profile partnership coincides with a pivotal corporate restructuring, as the company enters the final phase of a $1.4 billion take-private transaction led by the Marciano family and Authentic Brands Group, expected to conclude in early 2026.
As traditional luxury brands face a projected low single-digit growth period, Guess, Inc is leveraging Ferragni’s 28 million followers to bridge its 1980s heritage with modern social media language. The campaign focuses heavily on ‘phygital’ engagement, highlighting the Camden Bag as the season’s ‘IT’ accessory. Data suggests, 38 per cent of Gen Z luxury discovery now occurs via TikTok and Instagram, a segment Guess aims to secure through this partnership following a challenging 2025 where Asian revenues dipped by 20 per cent.
Beyond the glamor of the Ferragni campaign, Guess, Inc is executing a rigorous store rationalization plan, closing underperforming US locations to shift investment toward high-growth markets in Europe and the Middle East. The 2026 strategy also focuses on scaling Rag & Bone, acquired in 2024, to diversify the portfolio into the ‘quiet luxury’ space. By consolidating infrastructure and leveraging its new joint venture with Chalhoub Group, Guess, Inc anticipates unlocking approximately $30 million in operating profit for the 2027 fiscal year.
Guess, Inc. is a lifestyle powerhouse directly operating 1,058 stores across roughly 100 countries. Specializing in denim, handbags, and contemporary apparel, the company is currently transitioning into a private entity to enhance agility. With annual revenues near $3 billion, its 2026 growth plan prioritizes premium brand acquisitions and digital-first marketing to recapture global momentum.
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