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During a press conference held by Hikmet Eraslan, CEO of Dosso Dossi Holding to announce the inauguration of the biannual Dosso Dossi Fashion Show in the resort city of Antalya, he said that textile firms from China, India, Italy and others are looking at improving their trade relations with Russia to take advantage of the space vacated by Turkish exporters.

After the jet crisis, wherein Turkey shot down a Russian fighter jet over an airspace violation along its Syrian border on November 24, Moscow initiated several economic sanctions against Turkey in retaliation. On the other hand, the Dosso Dossi fair, manufacturers and thousands of companies from different countries are meeting since it serves as an intermediary platform in supply chains where the products end up in Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan or elsewhere. The fair is held to support the opening of new markets, domestically and sector heads from abroad , bureaucrats, businessmen, academicians, bringing the industry to create an international platform to shed light on the development, sales and bilateral negotiations for partnership.

At the previous fair [in June] Turkish exhibitors reported $55 million in revenue, however due to the jet crisis, now the target is to reach around $50 million this time as Russian firms attending the fair have dropped from 1,500 to between 1,000 and 1,100. Since Russia still maintains its grip over former soviet countries, embargoes aimed at Turkey are expected to spread to such countries as well. Belarus has already followed suit and banned chartered flights to Turkey, also restricting the access of some Turkish products.

According to official statistics, Turkey's ready-to-wear textile exports declined by 10.3 per cent year on year in the first 11 months of 2015, totaling $15.6 billion. Following the jet crisis, total volume of Turkish exports decreased by 8.6 per cent to $132 billion between January and November, compared to the same period a year ago.

www.dossodossi.com

The West Bengal government has requested for more time to respond to the Centre regarding its further jute dilution plan, since raids and action against alleged stockpiling of jute by mills and traders. According to the sources, the Centre has proposed four lakh bales for dilution, apart from 1.34 lakh bales it had already notified earlier.

State Labour Minister Moloy Ghatak is said to be talking to the ministry on behalf of West Bengal government. Sources add that the state Enforcement Department has already raided three jute mills out of 17 mills and is monitoring 48 traders. The industry has witnessed closure of 12 jute mills with 70,000 jute workers losing their jobs.

Raw jute crisis has forced the government's jute procurement plan for the forthcoming Rabi crop season up to March 2016 to get diverted in favour of plastics as packaging material for food items. The government has already diluted 1.34 lakh bales or 10 per cent of the proposed 13.34 lakh bales in December 2015 to April 2016 period. If the proposal to dilute additional four lakh bales gets a green signal, it will go in favour of plastics resulting in further unemployment in the state.

Bangladesh may overtake China as the world's biggest cotton importer in the current crop season thanks to strong demand from apparel makers, according to data from the US Department of Agriculture. In the year ending July 31, 2016, Bangladesh may import a record 5.75 million bales of the fibre, up 6.5 per cent from a year earlier, said the USDA last week. One bale weighs 480 pounds, or 218 kilograms.

China is projected to import 5.5 million bales, the lowest since 2003, according to Bloomberg. Bangladesh's share of the global cotton-export market doubled from 1995 to 2012, mostly because of the strong performance of the garment sector, the World Bank said in an October report. Since 2009, the country has been the world's second largest exporter of clothing after China.

China is grappling with wage inflation. It has more-than-ample stock: most of the 104.4 million bales of global stockpiles predicted by the USDA in the current crop year are in China. Also, unlike Bangladesh and several other Asian nations, China has curbs on imports in the form of quotas and tariffs, and Bangladesh, Vietnam and Indonesia are gaining market share.

While cotton use by Bangladeshi mills is forecast to rise 10 per cent in 2015-16, it will jump 20 per cent in Vietnam, according to the International Cotton Advisory Committee. The International Monetary Fund's most recent macroeconomic outlook projects global income growth in 2015 at its slowest in 6 years. Low polyester prices relative to cotton, issues associated with China's transition to new cotton policies and adjustments to higher wages are also factors limiting consumption growth in recent years, the USDA report also said.

World cotton production in 2015-16 is forecast to be 103.7 million bales, which is 13 per cent below last season, as lower area combined with a reduced yield will push the global crop to its lowest since 2009-10. Production for the top two producers -- India and China -- is projected to account for a combined 51 per cent of the world total, with forecasts of 28.5 and 24.3 million bales, respectively. For India, production will decline for the second consecutive year in 2015-16. The decline is more dramatic for China, as production is forecast to fall by 5.7 million bales to 24.3 million bales in 2015-16.

www.usda.gov

Vietnam's local garment industry relies upon imported raw material from countries such as China which accounts for 50 per cent of the imports. Also most of the machines, chemicals and textile dyes that Vietnam's garment industry are imported from other countries. To strengthen the existing weak supply chain in Vietnam's garment sector, the industry has initiated steps to join the processing stages of cutting and sewing in the global supply chain, said Vu Duc Giang, Chairman of the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association (Vitas).

Giang said that to increase added value of the garment industry, its enterprises must focus on developing production of material and changing production methods. These solutions would improve the quality of exported textile and garment products and encourage co-operation among garment enterprises to create a domestic supply chain.

According to the Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group (Vinatex), the local textile and garment firms should change its strategies in production and management and develop skilled workers to create favourable conditions for firms shifting the production modality from Cut-Make-and-Trim (CMT) to free-on-board (FOB) practice and Original Design Manufacturer (ODM). Vinatex has already planned investments in a series of plants in central Ha Tinh province to form a competent production chain serving domestic and foreign markets. At a total capital of nearly VND1 trillion ($45.14 million), four factories, wastewater treatment, and water supply centres will be built in the local Nam Hong industrial park, covering 19 hectares.

The construction of two sewing plants, Hong Linh 1 and 2, costing VND190 billion ($8.6 million), will start in February 2016 and early 2017. In late 2017, the Hong Linh plant for scarf weaving, with designed capacity of 1,500 tonnes per year, will be built under a VND314-billion ($14.17 million) investment. The last of the four is a factory for dyeing and knitting worth VND410 billion ($18.5 million), which is capable of turning out 1,400 tonnes of products annually. Vinatex has launched a drive to increase productivity which is vital when the country accelerates international integration.

www.vietnamtextile.org.vn

A team from Brussels will be visiting Sri Lanka next month to review the progress made by the government in implementing the 15 demands set out by the European Union (EU) before it decides to withdraw the ban on the GSP+ tax concessions. The planned visit comes after a three member team from the Foreign Ministry visited Brussels last week where they held a day long talks with EU officials on the GSP+ facility.

Once the team assesses Sri Lanka’s status, Colombo would submit a fresh application to the EU to seek withdrawal of ban on GSP+ facility. The EU withdrew the GSP+ facility three years ago citing labour, human rights and several other issues and called on the then government to addresses these issues. On the other hand, the International Labour Organisation (ILO) has appealed to the government to implement, at the very earliest, the eight Core-Conventions if it is to regain the GSP+ trading facility with the European Union (EU).

The Conventions include elimination of forced, slave and child labour, the elimination of on grounds of gender, ethnicity, religion and disability, and the enforcement of labour rights – meaning the freedom of association and collective bargaining, the minimum age of a worker and equal remuneration. ILO has also suggested that wage policy must be reformed in the public sector, since it impacts wage trends in the whole economy including the private sector.

Cotton production in India is estimated to be lower by 11 per cent at 335 lakh bales in the current year due to lower acreage and drastic reduction in yields, says a report by Edelweiss Agri Research.

"The cotton production is estimated at 335 lakh bales this year as against 376.6 lakh bales of last year, lower by 11 per cent. Lower production is mainly attributed to lower acreage and drastic reduction in yields in North India due to white foly infection," the report said.

Acreage under cotton is down by 7.5 per cent as fall is witnessed across the states due to poor return during the previous season. Overall yields are expected to come down by 3.8 per cent, majorly because of drastic reduction in yields in North Indian states as yields in these region is expected to reduce by 35 per cent year on year, the report added.

There could be more reduction in yields as many fields can't be harvested as infestation is very severe, some farmers may opt for only one picking as harvesting cost is higher and yields in 2nd picking may not be sufficient to pay labour wages, it added. However, yields are expected to remain higher year-on-year in Central Indian states - Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh. The yields in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana region are expected to be lower by 1.5 per cent. In Karnataka acreage is lower by 24.3 per cent on reduced sowing activity in major growing districts.

The report said that cotton prices slipped much below the Minimum Support Price last year, and as a result government had to procure record cotton estimated at around 87 lakh bales of 170 kg each. Due to falling production for a second year in a row, the government intervention is expected to be lower. The North West region of Punjab and Harayana is a major cotton consuming region, crop failure in this region will support prices in central and western India. Also, lower crop in Pakistan will see higher exports to all the three neighbouring nations Bangladesh, China and Pakistan, it said.

www.edelweissfin.com

"Despite the AGOA duty-free privilege, not all African countries have been able develop themselves into textile and apparel production and export hubs. Kenya, Lesotho and Mauritius are the three prime names that account for most of the apparel exports under the AGOA program. In 2014, Kenya exported $423 million worth of apparel to the US, followed by Lesotho with $289 million, Mauritius $227 million and Swaziland $77 million."

 

AGOA-Feature 1

Despite several negatives such as poor infrastructure, tedious customs process, lack of skilled labour and low social and environmental compliance, African countries, Ethiopia and Kenya, are emerging strong production and export markets for textiles and garments to the US. And with the 10-year renewal of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), under the United States' General System of Preferences that allows duty-free imports of a wide range of African products, is expected to further grow duty-free exports from the continent.

 

AGOA renewal boosts African trade

agoa

AGOA treaty’s renewal was signed by President Barack Obama in June, 2015. Now, the African textile and garment industry is looking at taking advantage of duty-free access to the United States. Cost advantage and higher production efficiency in countries like Ethiopia and Kenya and also attracting many companies from Turkey, India and China to move their production to African countries. After AGOA agreement, these companies would also benefit from duty-free access to 8,000 products to the United States.

African nations on the other hand are looking for investors, who can create employment opportunities for locals. According to the Nairobi-based East African Trade and Investment Hub (EATIH), textiles and apparel account for some 90 per cent of exports from sub-Sahara African countries to the United States. The bulk of exports are shipped by sea, but small quantities needed for seasonal purpose or last-minute ordering is also shipped by air.

Existing apparel exporters are also expanding capacities to take advantage of AGOA. Mombasa Apparel, for instance, an AGOA-supported company, launched its fourth textile factory in November 2014 on the coast of Kenya while Taiwan's New Wide Garment, which already has eight factories in Kenya, Lesotho and Ethiopia, aims to further expand its African operations.

However, despite the AGOA duty-free privilege, not all African countries have been able develop themselves into textile and apparel production and export hubs. Kenya, Lesotho and Mauritius are the three prime names that account for most of the apparel exports under the AGOA program. In 2014, Kenya exported $423 million worth of apparel to the US, followed by Lesotho with $289 million, Mauritius $227 million and Swaziland $77 million.

Kenya, Ethiopia leads the pack

Among the African countries, Kenya has emerged as Africa's largest apparel exporter, followed by Lesotho, Mauritius and Ethiopia. Now the Ethiopian government is focusing on growing textiles and apparel exports. Experts say African countries will have to substantially bring down energy costs and improve infrastructure facilities to strengthen trade opportunities.

Moreover Ethiopia and Kenya can grow their textile and garment industries. With efforts by leaders of Kenya, Rwanda and Uganda to make the port of Mombasa and the northern corridor more efficient will help in smoothening and establishing exports from these countries. The three leaders have also committed to speedily upgrade infrastructure connecting their countries, including the standard gauge railway and Kenya's Mombasa port.

According to Gail Strickler, assistant United States trade representative for textiles and apparel, African textile and apparel exports to the US can quadruple to $4 billion over the next decade through the renewal of the AGOA, creating 500,000 new jobs. And to gain the leading position as the textile and garment exporter, the African countries urgently need to address issues revolving around infrastructure facilities and customs procedures.

 

Trade.gov

Ginners in Pakistan say research institutes and agricultural scientists have failed to evolve new varieties of cotton in the last two decades. And taking advantage of this situation, the seed mafia has strengthened itself and supplied substandard, less germinated, unapproved, spurious and uncertified seeds to farmers at exorbitant prices. They also say, sugar mills are being set up in the core cotton zone and this will have detrimental effects on cotton and ginning industries in the region. Construction of new sugar mills, they say, will destroy the economic balance of the cotton belt and, consequently, the land will become barren due to salinity and water logging.

Ginners have demanded a bailout package immediately, soft term loans and interest free-loans, which would be repaid in five years. Their main complaint is that they have to wait endlessly for export refunds. They want export incentives.

In contrast Indian exporters enjoy some incentives. They are entitled to three to five per cent additional rebate, if they export their products to focus market. Pakistan, incidentally is among the focus market for Indian ginners. The Pakistani textile industry wants similar support and access to cheap power and cheap labor. Pakistan was granted GSP Plus status by the EU in January 2014.

Year 2015 didn’t prove to be fruitful for cotton spinning mills as the yarn prices continued to remain tricky, after collapsing 8-15 per cent from January 2014, across various grades. Apparently, mills in the south that spin almost half the yarns in the country were adversely affected by massive rains in Tamil Nadu over the last six weeks that hindered trade and logistics.

Similar scenes can be recorded on the export front too. Prerana Desai, VP (Research) at Edelweiss Agri-services and credit inferred that, weekly exports in the fourth week of November recovered from the lows recorded in the previous week at 15.4 million kg. But exports sunk back in December’s first week, as exports to the top four destinations—China, Bangladesh, Egypt and the US—were feeble.

Mills were loaded with huge inventory after spinning mills added capacity since 2012, and this overcapacity is a bigger problem. In addition, Chinese buyers have shifted to imports from Vietnam and Indonesia, deteriorating the demand for Indian yarn. Southern India Mills’ Association (SIMA) revealed that India’s trade in international markets has reduced by about 14 per cent while Vietnam’s and Indonesia’s trade has risen by 29 per cent and 10 per cent respectively.

Presently the only bright side that assists the pressure to stand low margins is the low cotton prices both internationally and in local markets. Meanwhile, stock prices of select integrated mills have run-up due to a steady improvement in the entire scope of cotton textiles. Moreover, without undermining the high inventory, certain units have cut down production which should certainly decrease surplus stock and carrying costs for mills. Any increase for yarn in global markets in the future is likely to be the game changer for pricing and profitable avenues.

Scientists at Germany’s Hohenstein Institute, working on a project on plus-sizes on German, have reformed sizing charts for plus sizes. Specific body shapes have been identified of men whose waist size and weight are above standard garment sizes to cater to the demand for this target group in the apparel industry.

The proportion of large menswear in the market has relatively increased with the proportional rise in demand. A press release from the Institute says the absence of adequate and relevant sizing charts is a catalyst to the struggle faced by the clothing industry to develop suitable products.

A survey using 3D scanner technology was carried out by experts from Hohenstein. In accordance, body types have been defined for sizes 60 to 78 and the sizing charts to contain five sizes for menswear.Waist circumference was a specific element of the study.

With the new body measurement analysis, virtual 3D body models have been developed by researchers to assist the apparel industry to produce optimised basic patterns for trousers and jackets, using this varied approach.

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