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"After hovering around 60 cents to 65 cents for the past two years, cotton prices are up 16 per cent, selling at around 70 to 72 cents a pound. Upland cotton grown in the United States is selling for 80 cents to 85 cents a pound after bouncing around at 60 cents or below for most of the spring."

 

Cotton prices on the rise after India overtakes China as largest

After hovering around 60 cents to 65 cents for the past two years, cotton prices are up 16 per cent, selling at around 70 to 72 cents a pound. Upland cotton grown in the United States is selling for 80 cents to 85 cents a pound after bouncing around at 60 cents or below for most of the spring.

Jon Devine, senior economist at Cotton Inc, the research and marketing company in North Carolina that represents upland cotton producers and importers of cotton and cotton textile products, cotton prices started to rise since the past month or two.

Cotton prices on the rise after India overtakes China as largest producer

A number of reasons have triggered the price hike. Pakistan, the world’s fourth- largest cotton producer, saw its crop decline last year by 500,000 million metric tons, or 2 million bales, due to bad weather and bugs. Since Pakistan’s crop was down, they imported a lot more cotton from India. And India’s shipments was too aggressive exporting cotton to Pakistan. Therefore, supplies have gotten tight in India, and Indian mills have looked to import cotton, which is pushing up prices, said Devine.

Reduction in cotton acreage

Lower cotton prices earlier this year and last year prompted farmers in China to plant other crops, which will result in a 3 to 4 per cent reduction in cotton acreage planted there. Moreover, a number of trading firms are starting to buy up cotton, which was not the norm. In recent weeks, commodities are coming back in people’s financial portfolios and cotton is a commodity, said Karin Malmstrom, Director, Cotton Council International, for China and Northeast Asia. The beginning stocks from May to June came down a bit. If stocks are lower and demand is steady or higher, prices go up.

The USDA estimates global stockpiles of cotton will drop by 9 million bales to 91.29 million bales by July 2017, which are 3.4 million bales lower than the agency’s previous estimate because of increasing Chinese demand. China is the largest cotton consumer in the world and still the largest fabric manufacturer. For sourcing, China remains the most competitive and largest textile source. But for the first time in years, China’s cotton crop this year fell below 5 million metric tons while India produced 5.8 million metric tons. In 2012, China’s cotton harvest totaled 7.6 million metric tons.

Malmstrom opined this as a significant change. China is prioritizing food crops over cotton, which is grown primarily in Xinjiang province in the far west. While the United States is the third-largest cotton producer in the world with a recent 2.8 million metric ton harvest, it is the No. 1 cotton exporter in the world with China historically being its main customer, followed by Turkey.

With consumption outpacing production, it is uncertain whether cotton prices will inch up or dip down. Pakistan’s cotton harvest is expected to return to 2 million metric tons this after declining to 1.5 million tons last year. Pakistan is one of the first to harvest in the next month or two, Devine observed.

Uncertain future

Meanwhile, India’s cotton crop is looking uncertain due to seasonal rains. And, in the United States, the concern is about West Texas, which grows about 60 per cent of the country’s cotton. Because the cotton fields there do not have irrigation and rain deficit could cause problems.

Interestingly, no one thinks cotton prices will go sky high like they did in early 2011, when it was selling at $2.27 a pound, the highest since the US Civil War. To cope with high cotton prices, manufacturers added more polyester and rayon to their clothing, and big department stores raised prices by $1 to $2 to maintain profit margins.

In a bid to rejuvenate the handloom sector and boost jobs related to the trade, Prime Minister Narendra Modi took time to urge Indians to use more khadi products, saying that this can stimulate the sector. ‘On National Handloom Day, let us affirm that we will give an impetus to the handloom sector and use more handloom products in our daily lives. Our handloom sector is diverse, eco-friendly and is a source of employment for countless weavers, who will be very encouraged by our support,’ the Prime Minister said in a series of tweets on the occasion of Handloom Day.

Irani had said that the Textile Policy was poised to give a big impetus to the handloom sector including ways of bolstering e-commerce of the desi yet fashionable fabrics. Irani claimed that the new Textiles Policy would encompass all verticals of handloom. She added that the policy would address handlooms, jute, cotton and other makes of handloom. To keep pace with time, Irani said that an announcement on engaging e-commerce to boost marketing of handloom products will also be made in the Textile Policy.

Noting that the textile sector was one of the major drivers of economy in rural areas, the Prime Minister had urged 125 crore Indians to use khadi and handloom for 5 per cent of their clothing needs.

The government had notified August 7 as National Handloom Day with the objective of generating awareness about the importance of the handloom industry and its contribution to the socio-economic development of the country in general and to promote handlooms, increase income of weavers and enhance their pride in particular. The date was chosen due to its special significance in India's freedom struggle. It was on this very day in 1905 that the Swadeshi Movement was formally launched at a massive meeting in the Calcutta Town hall. The movement involved revival of domestic products and production processes.

India has 2.38 million looms engaging 4.33 million people of which 77 per cent are women. In FY15, India produced 7203 million square metres of handloom of which close to a third were exported.

The number of UK companies manufacturing textiles and apparel rose sharply last year, says a new report, confirming the growing momentum of ‘Made in Britain’ movement. The number of firms producing textiles and apparel rose to 7,880, a 7.6 per cent increase from previous year. The biggest increase came from a rise in the number of apparel manufacturers, up 10.7 per cent to 3,830 companies, while the number of textile firms had increased by 4.9 per cent year on year to touch 4,030.

Adam Mansell, chief executive of the UK Fashion and Textiles Association (UKFT), says there has been a lot of noise about UK manufacturing in the past few years but this is probably one of the first pieces of concrete evidence to support what people in the trade have been hearing.

The UKFT compiled the report from various sources including the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and Revenue and Customs import and export data. Now, it plans to produce it annually to give a clear picture of the UK manufacturing landscape.

Experts say a number of factors have been driving this increase such as the rising cost of overseas production and the increasing need for supply control and flexibility on the part of retailers and brands, as well as greater consumer awareness of UK production and the continued export demand for UK-produced textiles and apparel.

The UKFT argues the growth rate could be even higher than the ONS’s statistics suggest, as the data covers only companies and self-employed individuals registered for value-added tax (VAT) and Pay as you earn (PAYE) tax. The ONS estimates that about 50 per cent of businesses in the UK Fall outside this category.

Texvalley, one of the largest wholesale textile markets in the country, is gearing up for its maiden Diwali booking conference ‘Textile & Garment Fair 2016 (TGF 2016)' from August 10 at Texvalley Main Mall. The three-day value-for-money event is expected to see nearly 150 branded readymade garment manufacturers. Wholesale buyers from the country are also likely to visit the fair which will exclusively cater to the needs of the approaching festival season.

DP Kumar, Executive Director of Erode Textile Mall, which owns Texvalley says they have planned the event in such a scale that TGF would eventually be the most popular show for Diwali collections year-after-year. In view of the announcement of a special package for the textiles sector by the Centre, Texvalley has embarked on a slew of measures for the benefit of members. This include: establishing a B2B trade portal for textile and garment product categories; setting up a modern digital design studio; launching an innovation entrepreneurship centre; partnering with SITRA to set up a test & training centre; and setting up a B2C web store covering Amazon, Flipkart, Ebay, Jabong among others.

Syrian exporters are looking at Iran with interest. They will market their products in Iran by hosting a number of exhibitions. To start with there will be an exhibition of textile products in September. Scores of Syrian companies will take part in the exhibition and showcase their products of clothing. The exhibition will be one of the largest and the most important Syrian textile exhibitions to be held abroad.

Iran is an important market for the Syrian textile industry which has witnessed a recovery during the past couple of years. A free trade agreement between the two countries allows goods to be exchanged with competitive tariffs that do not exceed four per cent. A center for Syrian exports has been opened in Tehran where specialized work teams are tasked with advertising and promoting Syrian products.

Syria has entered into a new phase of trade and investment cooperation with countries, particularly Iran. Syria has export potential in a significant number of agricultural and industrial sectors.

Iran’s high levels of security, diverse economy and educated workforce could make it a new conduit in a crisis-hit region. Its location allows access to Arab states in the south and west, central Asia in the north, and Afghanistan and Pakistan in the east.

Union textile minister Smriti Irani has announced the launch of a national helpline for weavers that would also be a census of concerned workmen. The minister made the announcement at the second National Handloom Day celebrations at Swatantrata Bhavan, Banaras Hindu University. The helpline, to be headquartered at the ministry of textiles, will enable weavers to lodge complaints with the minister directly and also give suggestions for development of the handloom sector.

The initiatives are meant to further Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s general election promise to help the sector, which includes a large community of Muslim weavers.

The government has started linking skill development initiative with its program to develop the handloom industry. An MoU was signed between the Ministry of Skill Development and Entrepreneurship (MSDE) and the Ministry of Textiles on National Handloom Day to bring in a paradigm shift in the handloom industry.

Though trades like spinning, dyeing, beem bharai, designing and weaving are traditional skills which are in practice for decades, but they have never been given importance formally. Now, there is a need to revive interest in these skills and make them viable and paying. The MSDE and the Ministry of Textiles have chalked out a new strategy for promoting production and marketing of high value quality handloom products with the key objective of enhancing earnings of handloom weavers.

At present, 28 Weavers Service Centres (WSCs) across the country are providing technical assistance to handloom weavers. WSCs are nodal agencies for carrying out skill up-gradation training in the areas of weaving, designing, dyeing/printing, managerial functions and use of technology in handiworks.

In the Tirupur knitwear cluster, the recent High Court order on minimum wages announced in October 2014 for the tailoring industry has evoked mixed reactions. According to Tirupur Exporters’ Association president A Sakthivel, the court order is not applicable to hosiery industry but only for the tailoring industry.

Substantiating Sakthivel’s views, industry sources say another order by Madras High Court on March 17 this year, based on a petition by a Dindigul textile unit that has a production base in Tirupur, the court had mentioned hosiery and tailoring industries were different. CITU state secretary M Chandran meanwhile, said the court order should be implemented in categories of employees where the minimum wages given were found lower than in the October 10, 2014, order.

For example, tailors in Tirupur cluster are getting higher wages in the tripartite wage agreement signed by textile associations, trade unions and labour department compared to the scales in the 2014 order. But the scales of helpers and sweepers in units are quoted higher in the 2014 order. In such cases, arrears should be given, said Chandran.

However, the GO on October 10, 2014, issued by Labour department, on ‘Revision of minimum rates of wages for employment in tailoring industry’; had given room for confusion even then as the government had constituted minimum wages committee for employment in hosiery industry.

In a bid to nurture premium fashion and lifestyle brands of the country, the South Korean Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (MOTIE) has announced plans to invest around $27 million next year. Doubling the R&D budget and supporting the whole process, right from design to marketing for exports to other countries across the globe for seven categories which include furniture, bags, sports and leisure, accounts for an effort to boost exports of consumption goods.

In order to raise added value to fashion and apparel, the Korean Government will lend a helping hand to young designers in setting up their own businesses and will choose 200 promising designers and help them grow their international business by 2020. The Government also plans to promote new distribution platforms to assist 300 brands in showcasing their products at overseas online stores.

In line with its objective of diversifying trade beyond the European Union and the US, the Indian government plans to examine the feasibility of a free trade agreement (FTA) with Mexico. The North American country holds opportunities for India to expand trade and a visiting trade delegation has already been promised increased opportunities for sectors, including dairy, pharmaceuticals and telecom outside a free trade pact.

The Commerce Secretary recently led a trade delegation to Mexico including representatives from industries such as dairy, telecom, tyre manufacturers, pharmaceuticals and IT. After a series of productive meetings with both private industry and government agencies, it was gathered that there was a lot of potential to expand.

Way back in 2012, India had looked at a possible free trade pact with Mexico but it had not seemed a good idea because of limited trade at that time. While India’s total exports to Americas declined more than 10 per cent in 2015-16 to $52.882 billion and exports to the US declined 4.57 per cent to $45.3 billion, exports to Mexico, at $2.86 billion, remained unchanged.

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