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Global high-end fashion market to grow to $450 billion by 2031

 

The global high-end fashion market is entering a transformative phase, with projections indicating a rise to $450 billion by 2031, supported by a consistent 5.5 per cent CAGR. As of early 2026, the industry has successfully navigated the ‘post-elevation’ era, where traditional exclusivity is being augmented by hyper-personalization. While the United States remains a resilient stronghold for luxury spend, the Asia-Pacific region has emerged as the primary growth engine. This shift is powered by a mobile-first middle class and a burgeoning ‘prosumer’ base in markets like India and China, where high-end fashion is increasingly viewed as a lifestyle investment rather than a discretionary purchase.

The rise of AI-driven scarcity and craftsmanship

To maintain a robust 19 per cent EBIT margin amidst rising operational costs, leading fashion houses are integrating Generative AI for demand forecasting and supply chain orchestration. Unlike the mass-market use of automation, luxury brands like LVMH and Prada are leveraging technology to protect scarcity - ensuring artisanal supply perfectly meets demand while reducing inventory waste by up to 20 per cent. This ‘smart craftsmanship’ is further supported by the industry-wide adoption of Digital Product Passports (DPP), which provide blockchain-verified provenance. These tools allow brands to justify premium price points by offering transparent, traceable accounts of craftsmanship and sustainability to a skeptical, value-conscious Gen Z audience.

Navigating geopolitical headwinds and resale growth

Despite the optimistic valuation, 2026 presents significant structural challenges, including tightening ESG regulations and a complex global tariff landscape. Analysts from McKinsey note that nearly 46 per cent of fashion executives anticipate ‘challenging’ conditions due to trade disputes. Consequently, many brands are diversifying into the luxury resale market, which is currently growing three times faster than firsthand retail. By launching in-house ‘pre-loved’ programs, heritage brands are effectively capturing secondary market value, building long-term loyalty, and insulating themselves against the volatility of the primary production cycle.

Global Luxury Insights is a market intelligence initiative providing data-driven analysis of the high-end apparel and retail sectors. Focused on major hubs in Europe, North America, and Asia-Pacific, it assists stakeholders in navigating digital transformation and ESG compliance. Since its inception, the platform has guided strategic alliances for top-tier fashion houses, focusing on sustainable growth and long-term financial resilience.

 
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